Just some shooting from the hip spit ball numbers here. Everything changes. 350 aircraft/3500 pilots. Add the reserves and those on leave and what not and you get 4000. So I assume the junior captains at OO are in the 2200 range. Given that there is a percentage of FOs that are delaying upgrade for their various reasons. So going to the bottom of a 4K pilot list. Current attrition, which always changes, is 60/month. That's straight from a pilot on a message boards mouth, but believable given average attrition numbers, let alone legacy hiring numbers. So 720 pilots a year are leaving. For the first year almost all 720 of those will be senior to a new hire. As you move ahead in time not all of the pilots resigning will be senior, but the majority will be. 720 pilots a year. Multiply that by three years and one could expect to be halfway up Skywests list. Crazy. This all changes so rapidly. And where are the new applicants coming from when half the seniority list is turning itself over every 36 months. There were supposed to be 4 interviewing with me. There were only 2. Only 1 was offered a cjo. I'm content with a class date at OO. Sometimes the negative nancy moms basement keyboard warriors intimidate the new hire. Luckily I've had experience in the 121 world. I know what I'm getting myself into. But no matter what, I'm never commuting reserve.......EVER!