Originally Posted by
RyanP
Look at the seniority list from 2008-2016, look at how many people were hired each year, look at the hiring gaps where nobody or VERY few were hired, then learn to do simple math. I have posted this information broken down by numbers each year many times. Look it up, getting tired of reposting it all the time and doing the work for everyone else. People are just too ignorant and lazy to look it up and do the math for themselves. Ricks projections were about a year pre-mature but it is going to be dropping VERY quickly after the glut of 2011 hires to get through. There isn't hardly anyone behind them.
3 - 3.5 years is very possible for people hired in the last 6 months barring another catastrophe.
I'm glad you have the corner market on mathematics hombre.
There may be the gaps of which you speak. The only problem I and those who see the big picture see is that you need new first officers in order for this to happen. It is my understanding that this is not going well these days. Can you use math skills and explain to me how you are going to have all this upgrades when only 20 get hired every month?