The numbers do work. And they are reasonable. (The upgrade projections, not so much) They are dependent on new hire numbers but that is true of any company's upgrade/progression times.

AAG/envoy has already demonstrated that they are willing to increase pilot compensation in order to achieve higher attraction and retention numbers. Of course the pilots and ALPA believe though incentives are inadequate but at least AAG has shown that they will do so. I believe we will continue to see increased efforts to attract pilots, whether it be monetary, QOL improvements or adjustments to the flow, but it will likely never be as much as we would like to see. AAG has the resources, it is just a matter of them feeling that it is needed.

The industry as a whole will be very different in a few years than it is today. How it will change is anyone's guess. Overall though, I think we, collectively, as airline pilots will be in a much better place. All other things being equal, choosing to go to an airline will flow as opposed to one without, affords you an additional opportunity (a back up plan) that you wouldn't have otherwise. As an envoy pilot, you can still apply, interview and get hired just like everyone else. And many do. It is like taking a little extra gas. 100 times you don't need it, but that one time you do, it can make all the difference in the world.