Originally Posted by
Jack Russell
It looks like we have different ideas about what a "projection" is. I consider it a future consideration usually based on the most positive assumptions that usually does NOT occur. It sounds as though you consider it a likelihood that is almost certain to occur barring the most unlikely situations. As for your final assertion and on that thought, there are multiple situations that could affect the flow that only involve AA, Envoy or all the wholly-owned's or both that would not impact affecting the world, the U.S. domestically or the airline industry.
Obviously, you're in for the duration there and that's fine, but others are not by virtue of their avoidance of Envoy or their abandonment of it for other non-legacy pilot positions.
My friends, there has always been projections at American Eagle or Envoy now. They had projections way back when I was a new hire. I was projected to be an AA pilot in 5 years or less. It did not happen that way unfortunately.
The one thing I don't hear anything you guys talking about is, who is going to come in behind you in those first officer and captain positions? We used to hire 50 or 60 first officers each month. I can tell you from my experience that they are not going to shut down the company just so all of you guys can flow. The mathematics may show that you can flow all the pilots in the company in 5 years. But if you hire only 20 new hires each month the flow cannot happen as you speak to.
The times are different today for sure. One thing though I see that is still the same is the company likes to tell you the best outcome for you but the chances of it happening are not good.