I've been around for 40 years and every hiring boom leaves guys and a few gals behind for unknowable reasons. I've known loads of AF guys that couldn't/didn't get hired, that's just the way it is. I've known guys with little time get hired in bad hiring climates. It's a giant gamble and anyone who trots out the future retirements gambit is selling snake oil. No one knows the future and retirement lists ain't the future.
GF