We knew all along it would plateau.... We hire roughly 70 a month, but only upgrade around half that so it's been known that the upgrade dip into sub 3 years would probably wouldn't last. My guess is it evens out somewhere around the 3 year mark and that's a good thing, you'll get a solid 2 years of seeing all the seasons and gaining experience. When I went to OBAP a few weeks ago every recruiter said to me I need more hours, when I asked if I had PIC already would it matter the overwhelming response was not likely. So even if you get hired at 1500 upgrade at 2500 get your magical 1000 PIC nobody will really consider you with only 3500 hours. In a few years? Maybe but straight from BK's mouth at United you're probably going to need to be in the 5000 TT range to get looked at. That doesn't mean a few here and there don't get the call it's just that the majority don't.