Upgrades at every airline is a projection..right up until the moment you upgrade. What's your point?

What Envoy can guarantee that others can't is 30-40 SENIOR pilots leaving per month via the flow to AA. Other Regionals can't predict their attrition, or if that attrition will come from the top of the seniority list or the bottom.

So Envoy's projections are much more accurate because we have this known attrition quantity-the flow through-and we know exactly where on the seniority list that attrition will come from.