Originally Posted by
sailingfun
I would not put 19/5/5 out of the zone of reasonableness. The problem is the NMB probably considers managements package more reasonable. In total dollars they are not that far apart. End game would be about 175 million in year 3. We are going to have to tack a year onto duration however as management is not going to want to start this over in a year nor will the NMB.
I suspect when all is said and done will will fall somewhere around 17-18%/4/3/3. The question is will it be now or in 5 years.
That's not the biggest question. The real questions will be how many jobs will we sell out by giving them more flexibility in JV scope? How many jobs should we not (re)gain by agreeing to a disgusting "pay no credit" pittance to our already industry lagging vacation? How many jobs will we lose by selling XX% of OE trip drops? Adding a 2 year new hire freeze? Virtual basing? Etc.
Then take a couple percent off that initial raise, plus insert an unlimited negative variable to lower it further. A variable that management directly controls, in direct proportion to them deciding how much money to take from us to specifically give to themselves?
There are so many poison pills in this thing, and zero sign that they will drop them, that the only path seems to be winding the clock to a legal strike, however long that takes. Meanwhile, let them find the pilots they need while we plummet further below our competitors.