Originally Posted by
moon
It's not the lesser of the 2. It's 25% or the minimum number of pilots specified by that 1 for every 125 over section, as the "metered" rate. So if they are short staffed they will meter the flow to the minimum as they have beenn doing for the past few years, but If they have applicants knocking down the door then 25% of AA classes. And yes it slows down after the DOS group, but those getting in early won't see much slowdown. And who knows where the airline industry will even be in 5 to 7 years. Massive hiring at majors could pull you out of the flow anyway.
So, if Envoy has to park planes because they can't get enough pilots and the airline is in the After DOS group then they have to meter the flow. And parking planes means less pilots on the seniority list which means less pilots above the base of 480 which ultimately ends up meaning a very small flow through rate (less than 200/year). That means the five year flow isn't a five year flow for the After DOS group. This is all based on the assumption that Envoy has a difficult time obtaining pilots, which will probably be the case.
You are definitely right in that this industry might look a little bit different in 5-7 years. Hopefully we don't have to use the flow and we can get hired at a legacy OTS.