Originally Posted by
C172
They just extended their 145's through 2018 with intent to extend them through the end of 2019 and SkyWest is talking about fleet replacement for XJT in the Q3 earning I believe this month.
With the United CPP, upgrade time is probably going to drop drastically with 25% of all United new hires are required to come from ERJ side of XJT, and I believe the first wave of United new hires from XJT are heading over in November. Also I am pretty sure they didn't hire between 07'/08' and 2011 and are about to have an upgrade class with an 07' and 11' hire in the same class, so that drops the upgrade overnight by 3.5/4 years. I wouldn't be surprised for XJT to have one of the lowest upgrade times come begging of 2017.
Lets correct some of your mistakes above. XJT did not hire from Nov 2007 to Jan 2011. That would only be 3 years of no hiring at XJT. There are no upgrade classes scheduled. There is still about 80 people from the most Jr CA to the last Nov 2007 new hire on the seniority list.
If they put out a bid and started to upgrade the Jan 2011 new hire today, he would still be a 6 year upgrade. (granted, they would also have to have about 85 in the class to get to the 2011 new hire)
Now as far as the extension of the contract with United. They only extended a small part of the planes that are flying today. It appears about 2 planes per month still have to be parked to get down to what is included in the extended contract. Also about 10 planes have to be parked on the AA side of the house. The parking of the planes will take care of all the guys going to UA on the CPP. There will be no need to upgrade due to the planes getting parked.