Originally Posted by
RyanP
We will lose between 450-500+ pilots easily next year through flow and other airline attrition. Flow number alone is predicted at 300 in 2017 by AA right now. We only have around 1700ish active pilots on property so losing around 500 is a big impact. 6+ year upgrades will be ancient history soon.
I could be wrong but I think attrition is going to drop next year. The past two years have been terrible which is pushing the FOs and CAs to move on. If we see I provements in schedules, stagnation, QOL, and flow then I think less would be willing to move on unless DAL or UAL called.
500-300= 200/12 = 18 per month on average leaving. Seems high.