Originally Posted by
Litercola
Been here 2x years/35 years old. Obviously scope has big impact on people like me.... It seems crystal clear to me the company is going to immediately drop to 46.5% right off that bat.... It's been said that a 2% reduction = 1 daily RT PER DAY... That seems like a lot of flying to me. Does anyone have the data to convert "2%" into an actual number of left and right seat WB jobs? Those actual numbers may resonate/paint a better picture. Thanks.
I already posted the numbers and source document references here on APC. However, I'm not going to repeat them time after time because I do not at all think Delta will "immediately drop to 46.5% right off the bat."
First, this is a ratio. So you need "crystal clear" insight into the productivity of Air France, KLM and Alitalia to make your statement. Further, you must have a confidence in their ability to execute capacity control that I've not seen in the last 5 years of watching them.
The company's problems with compliance are three-fold:
(1) Network management runs Delta's capacity to maximize profit. Scope compliance is not a goal and barely on their radar. ALPA has been slowing moving, with prodding from folks like me, towards more effective proactive engagement with the company. We always have the grievance process and will enforce our contract. "Proactive engagement" has a bad name around here, politically (even though it is the best way to ensure compliance on the front end) and ALPA is a political animal.
(2) Delta has little influence (much less control) over AF/KLM/AZ in as tight a range as the pilot working agreement specifies.
(3) Air France/KLM are on the run from low-cost carriers and the ME3. In desperation, they've been trying to escape to the "white spots" on the ME3's route maps ... North and South America.
Ryanair leadership openly state that Air France/KLM are a dead man walking. We shall see, but IMHO they've got some real serious problems that they might not be able to deal with given the competitive landscape in Europe.