Two examples. First the estimate for the jobs lost by raising the ALV in the widebodies is off. The union guys said since the TLV remains the same there will be little to no change. We all the know the airline is staffed for summer flying. Another pilot at the road show did the math and confronted them. I was more impressed with his reasoning and numbers.

Second, the estimate on gains from the increased value of vacation and training is optimistic. Their numbers presume all pilots will only fly their schedule. But vacation and training are pay no credit...nothing prevents a pilot from continuing to pick up to the FARs.

There were other examples that came up.

Bottom line the union statement about staffing is.......extremely optimistic.

That said I think this TA will pass. I think the best reason to vote yes is that I believe our profits have peaked and by the time we could get another bite at the apple.....the apple will be smaller.