Originally Posted by
CLazarus
I said Wildcard for a reason, because I didn't think it was a likely possibility. 2022 is a best case MOM EIS scenario. I only threw MOM out there because it seems to me Boeing's only hope to compete with the 321NEO. I can't imagine airlines being any more interested in a -10 Max than the -9 Max (which by a wide margin is being outsold by the 321NEO).
The 321NEO LR is a gigantic problem for Boeing. No matter what Boeing builds, it is going to have to spend billions to develop it, and it will never be able to compete with the 321 on purchase price. Even if it just re-engined, and restarted the 757 line, the 757 was a much more expensive aircraft to build than the 320 or 737. By Boeings' own admission, it never built a lot of 75's per month, and they never got the economies of scale they got with the 73 line.
The MOM is going to have to be a WHOLE lot better than a 321NEO LR to justify costing twice as much.