Originally Posted by
Mercyful Fate
Never said such a thing about 100-1,000 seat planes at regionals. That is you spinning that little theory in that head of yours.
OK, so you agree that there will never be 100 seaters at SKYW. Great, we're making massive progress!
So that means you think the absolute max for them is somewhere between 77 and 99 seats.
Of course there's that pesky "proof of the pudding" trend vector. remember, metros to RJ9's means always larger, right? But anyway...
Why do you think they will never exceed the 77-99 seat range, yet can't be held to the 50-76 seat range?
You also point to the historical trends, yet ignore the recent trends of multiple successive recent contracts slamming the door on plane size relief, as well as the historical pushing back against 100ish seat bach jets and 84 seat RJ9's trends that were the case in the past at every major airline but no longer are.
So the very trends you tout are, if anything, illustrating the opposite of the ever growing manifest destiny you're predicting.
And the 70s and 76s grew when there was nothing projected at mainlines under 150ish (except tiny fleets of 73-7's and 319's and even they were pushing 130). Now we have large and growing fleets in the 110 seat range, with more orders about to be placed. That will make it even harder to get this past the unionized pilot groups who own their codes. I just don't see them falling for it, in good times or in bad.