Originally Posted by
RJDio
Mike and CCB
If anything now would be the best time for management to make a run at scope erosion. The pendulum has swung in the right direction for the industry. Legacies are making money hand over fist. Compensation is returning to 2000esque levels. They're hiring by the hundreds or thousands, which brings a (maybe false) sense of security to the junior guys. The seniority lists is saturated with very (longevity wise) senior guys at almost every level. We know said senior pilots will be retiring in droves in the coming years, so this would be the time for them to sellout the incoming guys on their last working contract.
Yet it has not happened. Managements one attempt, DAL TA15, failed. If anything the trend on outsourcing has reversed. Pilots are greedy. The rj experiment was voluntarily brought under the tent, but let's not forget it was exponentially amplified through bankruptcies and the associated duress. The majority of the incoming generation of legacy pilots suffered through the lost decade and rj experience. I doubt they'll quickly forget the consequences of selling job security for a few shekels during the next downturn.
Unlike MF, I hope the mainline keeps scope and pulls more back across the table. Unlike MF, I am a student of the human condition, and while there is a lot of noise here on the interwebs, the real decision making is done while the average JR pilot is out flying their line.
If it comes to making a small increase plenty of MECs have thrown the JR guys under the bus, over and over, and will do so again.
Good luck