Originally Posted by
FlyingKat
I know you are hoping that we don't get a great deal here because you decided to leave, but if you think United and TSA are going to stand still and just go out of business due to a lack of staffing you need to put down the crack pipe. The handwriting is on the wall. United is going to have to do something, the question is how far they will go and what they will do to make sure they have reliable regional lift. TSA will have to do something as well, but a lot of what TSA can do to match the wholly owneds depends on UAL. There is a new Sheriff in town at UAL (Kirby) and we will see what he does after the first of the year. We will also see what TSA does as well. I could see UAL buying regionals again or investing in them to gain more control. I also suspect there will be some regional consolidation next year due to the pilot shortage, and it wouldn't surprise me if TSA gets sold or buys someone else. But one thing you can count on is there will be big changes next year. So I don't blame anyone for leaving for Ameican or a better deal somewhere else, but to think the situation at TSA is going to remain "as is" is ridiculous.
Lol. I don't wish anything bad to happen at TSA. I have a lot of friends there. And I didn't want to leave. I did so because of "the writing on the wall." Wishing for something bad to happen versus saying what I think will or won't happen are two different things. I hope UAL and TSA do up the ante. It would be good for everyone there and all regionals in general. But my opinion is that this won't happen...
UAL has been forced to do something... they bought 49% of CommutAir and ordered 65 737-700's while publicaly stating they will be drastically cutting their regional carriers with a focus on slashing the number of 50 seaters in operation and focusing on bringing flying back in house between now and 2020. So my opinion is that I do not think UAL is going to pay a contract carrier to throw large bonuses at new hires to boost staffing numbers. And I don't think they will buy any regionals.... Maybe CommutAir since they already own 49%. But I doubt it. These are opinions, not ill wishes for tsa or any other regional.
I do fully agree with you there it looks like there will be some major consolidation between several regional carriers moving forward. That has to happen for companies to survive.