Just doing some rough numbers here after yesterdays Memo from SkyWest Inc:
Expecting to remove 43% of L-ASA fleet in 2017. Therefore, 43% of L-ASA Seniority List could be sent packing:
The potential fallout:
Bottom 43% of L-ASA seniority list (roughly 86% of the three stripers on property) are now "bye bye!"
Top* 14% of First Officers at L-ASA will keep their jobs
Bottom* 43% of Captains at L-ASA will downgrade
Top* 57% of Captains at L-ASA will keep their seat.
* - Assuming a straight 50/50 split on the seniority list between CA and FO. But ASA has a large group of super senior FO's on the company wide seniority list who'll remain in the right seat. This will help "soon to be" super junior CA's keep their left seat.
In case you want to join me in looking back fondly on the promises they've made the last year to naive newbs joining the 121 world:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z6u2DgNJoUA
"Make the Smart Choice for your future, make ExpressJet your next step."