Originally Posted by
Sliceback
The retirement numbers generate crazy scenarios that we havn't seen in the past.
Upgrade and furloughs? Using Tallflyer's retirement numbers -
Assume SW stays the same size. That's about an 11 year upgrade (2027).
Assume UA hires today and furloughs 20% tomorrow and stays that size. In 4.5 yrs the last UA guy furloughed would be recalled. Upgrade would be in 2025, or two years ahead of the SW guy hired at the same time who never got furloughed.
SW getting w/b flying? AA is adding a long haul city every month. It would take forty years to achieve AA long haul city pairs and UA's count is probably higher. And how senior would any future w/b flying be at SW? A newbie probably wouldn't see it for years and years.
I agree, but you are also making assumptions.
Again, I'm just saying that nothing is a certainty in this industry and acting like you can predict 30 years into the future is a mistake.
It's naive.
You make good points.