Originally Posted by
Flyby1206
I am out of touch with their current fleet plans, but how many more a/c are awaiting delivery for RAH? Assume 5 upgrades per a/c to be delivered, you can get an idea of how many more upgrades due to expansion will be ahead. RAH has had some incredible expansion in the past few years, but I really don't know how long that can continue. There just physically aren't many more airlines they can contract service to.
I did a little research and came up with about 42 more aircraft by the end of the 1Q in 2009. All will be 175s. This includes the most recent annoucement with Delta and Untied. I would say 5 CA per plane is a good number, that would make for 210 new CA based on new growth. Forget about attrition. That is a whole other animal. Try at least 18 months of attrition at the rate of 20 per month. That is a healthy 360 pilots going bye-bye.
One other note, this includes the reduction of the 135 that is slated to start next Sept.
Where can RAH grow? Try Frontier and CAL.