Originally Posted by
Pcruz28
I think there was 100 CA (Correct me if I'm wrong) openings on the last bid... so 250 from the last guy the was awarded the upgrade would be around 3 to 4 upgrade bids until it hits everyone between 2011 and 2015... we were told to expect further upgrade bids with similar sizes. So the math works all we can do is wait honestly.
In addition there are a lot of FOs who have and will continue to bypass upgrade, due to poor quality of life as a junior Captain on reserve. Because of our 300+ captain lifers, reserve in the left seat is measured in years instead of months. Local junior captains (myself included) often choose reserve instead of the junior lines. On ORD EMJ almost half of the total captains are lifers. The plus side of this is obviously the lowered upgrade time for FOs who don't bypass. It now looks like upgrade time for current new hires could really be as short as advertised.