Originally Posted by
Eaglepilot84
Not quite as many as I was hoping for. MEC news blasts have been advertising about 3-5/month for CA attrition outside the flow. Additionally, once the 824 is up, my personal opinion is you're going to see upwards of 100 "lifers" take the flow. The world has changed a lot since they made their original decision to stay at envoy. Luckily, this should only delay the flow a couple of months, max.
If 100 lifers take the flow, that could delay it for 4 or 5 months. After the 824, the flow percentage goes to 35% until the 40th 175 is here. That could be 2 months. Those 2 months will be in the summer, when AA traditionally has smaller classes. The ALPA interactive seniority list is guessing that we'll flow only 16-18 each of those months. After the 40th 175 arrives, it goes back up to 50%, metered to 25/mo. All signs point to metering.