We are only at the beginning. The true shortage, based off of todays numbers being static or minimal increase of new pilots in the pipeline, will not actually be felt until around 2020 when the major numbers start going up on retirements.

That 10,000 apps on file is a lie as well. That number has fallen. And remember that the 10,000 is the same between each airline, with the same pilots applying everywhere. How many have already been called and are where they want to be?