Originally Posted by Xray678

Let's look at the numbers. I'm looking at the captain numbers for this discussion. And remember the next bid will be a 365 day AE.

First I would guess less than 80% of the 744 pilots go to the 777. Many will go to the 350, and a few will go to the 330..depending on where they live. But let's say it's 80%.

There are currently about 105 744As. From April 2017 to May 2018 there are 19 744A retirements. That gets us down to 86 744As that will be on another aircraft in June 2018. 80% of that number means you have 69 744A displacements to the 777.

Between April 2017 and May 2018 there are 39 777A retirements. So if there are no displacements off the 777 you would be left with 30 extra captains spread over 3 bases. Not really a huge amount. Plus, I'm betting less than 80% of the 744As go to the 777. Further, I suspect there will be a fair number of 777 pilots who bid the 350.

Considering all the factors, I think they could easily let the 777 absorb the 744 displacements.