Upgrade time: at AE

These are just basic facts about what my seniority number has done. and I'm not saying this is definitely what is going to happen, because you never know.

Since i was hired in Jan 07...

The first 6 months i was at eagle, they hired 200 pilots (pilots on the seniority list)

My seniority number when i started in January was 2800 and in June i was 2600. (6 month span)

I am estimating that 500 pilots should be hired in 2007.
-200 in the first 6 months of '07. has already been confirmed
-300 pilots between June and Dec. Because the pick your base option kicked up hiring this is my estimate


As of late, the most junior captains seniority number is approximately 1500

with my current seniority number of 2400 and at the estimated current hire rate of 500 pilots per year, mathematically that means I should hold captain in 2 years at the current rate of hire because there are just as many pilots leaving as there are coming in.

Thus a 3 year upgrade time from Date of hire.

*This is if the current rate of hire stays the same. Every one knows that the airline industry changes over time and the story with eagle, who knows what will happen with hiring in APR 2008 when all the Flow Backs are out.



questions / additions?