Originally Posted by
acecrackshot
When a Major has 50 or 100 resumes for every slot,
I don't think they have anywhere near that many.
thousands of active resumes on-file and each of those resumes is "highly qualified," there is no shortage.
Thousands..plural...is correct. When you count AA/DAL/UAL/SWA/FedEx/UPS as the majors, then there are probably about 15,000 or so active, qualified individuals' resumes on file, which would give each airline about 2,500 resumes. MAYBE there are 3,000 resumes for each airline, which would mean 18,000 individuals on file...but I really doubt there are that many separate individuals with their resumes on file...
When an interview at a Major is contingent upon traveling Grateful Deadhead-like around the country to job fairs, hangar presentations, career conferences and the like, there is no shortage.
As long as there are X number of ATP/1st class medicals for X-1 pilot seats, there is no definitional shortage.
There is no pilot shortage. There are inflections on the demand curve, which are solved by resources.
From posters here: FedEx and/or UPS, and UAL have said they have plenty of applicants to fill their needs through about 2019, then they have no idea how they will get enough pilots to fill the slots they are forecasting...