Originally Posted by
GoNova
As a new hire you will be on the jet, I don't think we even have reserve lines on the jet meaning you will hold a line immediately.
Prior 121 depends how much flight time you have, if 1000 hours you just need to complete training including SPE (first 40 cycles) then bid. So about 3-5 months. There are some training delays currently.
The flow times can be under 4 years with really good circumstances this is mainly based on growth and when you hop on. We don't know what our final target is in terms of pilots and planes but we do know it's a lot more then currently on property. The more the number goes up the faster we flow. Flows have historically been used as carrots and have not proven quick but this flow does seem more promising.
For a new hire, I would say less than a 5 year flow is extremely unlikely. If you are the 600th pilot on property, and you assume the top 150 don't flow (currently top 100 are marked 'No'), AND you assume we eventually reach 7/mo in the flow (our pilot group would have to be at 850)...it's still a 5+ year flow by the numbers.
Now, the flow is real, and who knows how attrition will work out going forward, but 3-5 years? I don't think that's very realistic. I'm not Rainman, but the math above is probably the most realistic best-case I can think of. And even then, it's the best possible scenario. I'd say, plan on about 5-7 years to flow as a new hire at this stage in the game. But that's just me.