Originally Posted by
ryane946
I would bet my next paycheck that you are wrong. As long as the majors are the top paying airlines, they will get thousands of applicants and have their pick of who they want to hire. Which is good! I want my major airline to be selective in who they hire. It's the beauty about paying people more than most other companies. You get to be selective in who you hire. The legacy airlines have never ran out of applicants, and I don't see it happening, certainly not with 20,000+ regional pilots to feed them.
If your airline pays SIGNIFICANTLY more than anyone else, then you will be fine. But, currently, AA/UAL/DAL/SWA/AKAir/Hawaiian/UPS/FedEx all pay more or less about the same. There are NOT ENOUGH pilots to fill the slots at the above 8 carriers, going forward.
Here are a couple of examples:
According to a Hawaiian airlines pilot, in Jan of last year, Hawaiian had thousands of resumes on file. By Mar, they had HUNDREDS of resumes on file. In the matter of a few months, their hiring pool shrank dramatically, which it had never done before in modern history.
UPS has a very good contract. My buddy, at AWAC, said one of his AWAC fellow pilots was in a new hire class at UPS. The day after they announced everyone got 747 based in ANC, TEN of the pilots quit, and left for other opportunities.
Delta, UAL, SWA, Hawaiian, FedEx and UPS, have all had no shows for new-hire class, as well as pilots leaving very early in their first year.
China, and other overseas carriers, are very desperate for pilots, and keep raising pay higher and higher and higher, which will mean some American pilots will leave the US and not be available to the majors as candidates.
The global demand for pilots is rapidly outstripping the supply, which is affecting ALL organizations that require pilots.