True but this is a backwards looking and extremely misleading statement that ranks right up there with:

Swa pilots fly 6 legs a day
Swa will never go international
It takes 2 years to get off reserve in Oakland
It takes 5 years to get into Dallas

At one time all these statements were true.

If you believe that every single former AirTran pilot not currently in Atlanta is going to bid back, and Atlanta is not going to ever grow, and a very high percentage of pilots junior to AirTran guys also want to bid into Atlanta then I would agree it will stay at around 10 years to hold.

Many of the junior AirTran pilots took the move package and are never coming back. Many of them commuted to Atlanta and now commute to another base with better seniority. I don't believe for a second that many 10 year guys (who could hold captain in another base) will bid FO reserve in Atlanta.

Atlanta is very senior now, imo it will be very junior in 3-4 years. I may be off by a year or two but unless Swa merges with Delta there's no way that it stays as senior as it is now forever.