Originally Posted by
Boeing Aviator
What are the thoughts on this forum that we will ultimately take delivery of the 53 firm widebodies on order either as 350-1000's, 350-900's, A330' Neos, 777-300's, 777X or 787's, used 777-300's in various combinations? Not saying specifically A350's but just the total additional wide body lift.
My point is 53 additional widebodies (if not all replacement) represents significant potiential widebody growth. What's the over/under that the long anticipated fleet plan will be announced at the upcoming Paris Airshow?
We are supposed to start getting the 787-10 next year, beyond that I think we will defer additional widebodies for 3-5 years. Heck we might even delay those. Then we start to replace the 767's and earlier 777's. If you plan a 25-30 year service life, you can see the replacement potential needed.
And this isn't even factoring in whatever MOM airplane Boeing or Airbus will introduce that would replace the 757/767.
But we aren't going to grow by 53 widebodies. I would be shocked if we grew by 15.
Just one opinion of course.