Originally Posted by
ScaryKite
there are supposed to be 230 airframes by november of 2008. That would be roughly 2300 pilots!
Time for some quick and dirty math. I was hired 6 months ago. Since then I have moved up 198 people. The newest person is around 1985. That's 131 more people from my original seniority number. So during my time here there has been a body movement of 329 people.
So 198 pilots in 6 months= 33 pilots per month on average leaving the company.
Taking into account the current seniority number of 1985 and how many pilots have left per month the company is hiring right at 55 pilots a month on average.
In 6 months we have grown roughly 130 pilots in size. This is taking the 33 per month leaving into account. For RAH to get to be "saturated" with pilots based on the 2300 number hiring shouldn't slow down for about 18 months if all things stay the same. The same average of people leaving per month and the same amount of hires per month. Once at the saturated level they will have to keep bringing people in as others leave.
It's very obvious to all of us that these numbers really mean nothing. We could lose flying or everyone could jump back into bankruptcy with both feet. However it is somewhat promising to see RAH alone could be hiring solid for the next 18 months and that's if we don't grow any bigger. Personally I'm wanting to know how they expect to retrain all the ERJ guys to fly the bigger equipment with sim space so tight.