Ooh.. I want to play since I mis-predicted the UAL/CAL seniority list so badly. I thought the arbitrators would split the two proposals. Maybe I'll get this one right.

Based on our ALPA Merger, JB #1 pilot would be about 3,000 on the "status and category only" list, since that's how many 757,767,777,787 Captains we have at United. A 1999 hire would be slotted in at 8,000 on the "Longevity only" list. So if JB had career expectations and current pay equal to United, and they applied the UAL/CAL merger model, and 50% weighting was used for each, the #1 JB Captain would be slotted in about 5,500.

Then after about the number of Jet Blue Captains were placed on the list (10 for 1 or something like that), they would have to skip another 3,500 down the list, since that would represent 757,767,777, and 787 FOs that aren't available to JB pilots right now. By that time, you'd be at the bottom and many FOs would be stapled.

But since it would be a windfall to all of a sudden have the UAL contract and be able to based out of numerous bases that didn't exist before, and have access to WB at some point, then JB Capt #1 is likely going in around 7,000 to 8,000 and by the time the last one is on the list, you are very close to the bottom with a big old staple job for the FOs.

Especially since a lot of pilots have left JB to come to United.

Look at SWA/AirTran and SWA didn't have 6,000 WB Capt/FO jobs. It was almost solely based on the superior contract.

But I agree, not going to happen.