Originally Posted by FTFF

Next 100 senior to 1802 = 11 cpts, 89% bypass
Next 100 = 15 captains, 85% bypass
And so on = 25, 75%
34, 66%
49, 51%

Applying that in reverse from 1802 and keeping a fixed 90% bypass rate:

CPT is 48.6 #'s from 1st 2014 newhire and 88.7 numbers from newest guys on property (2689total-1802 = 887 numbers from list plug)*.1 = 88.7). Even though it's just a limited model and in no way will it predict future bid outcomes, the data does hint at how places like DAL and FX (and presumably us too?) can have such quick upgrade times.
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