Originally Posted by
tone
So what? Of course there's a bunch of new pilots learning to fly every year. Doctors don't say," Oh no! I heard that there's a whole bunch of people that want to go to Med school. I better get out of the business because they are probably gonna be better than me and I'll be out of a job". Even sanitation workers have competition(people of similar sanitation backgrounds). Yes, being a Airline Pilot is very competetive, and you're right. There will never be a shortage for real, but so what? There is probably some babies born literally today that may be airline pilots in 25 years. Good for them! Good luck to them. Doesn't mean it's over for everyone else.
An oversupply of qualified pilots means that wages and work rules will continue to deteriorate. Every time the airline industry goes through a down cycle, management will use that to get concessions. Some of those concessions will be regained during up cycles, but not all. 2 steps back, then 1 step forward. That's how I see things going until the oversupply of pilots is somehow corrected. Why pay pilots more, when there are so many out there willing to do the job for less?