Originally Posted by
mrmak2
sorry to be the negative Nancy but those guys screwed themselves. A new hire at any cargo company today is destined for disaster. Between age 67 (or 68) and the push for single pilot airplanes (10-20 years from now) my guess is they will be back in the pool sooner rather than later.
Totally disagree.
The first cargo carrier that will probably be the testbed for single pilot/reduced pilot operations will be either Amazon Prime Air, or some new company (Elon Musk?!) that buys the next gen Boeing (NMA) and offers their services to the FAA to test this stuff. Timeframe = 2025-2030.
Only after it works (which it probably will), will the union battles at FedEx/UPS start. Timeframe = 2030+
ANY pilot hired by them now, will still have a pretty safe and secure career.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The SSC Report from the union for July shows that our staffing is ok. Pilots on here were touting 16000, 18000 and more, in the next few years.
Not gonna happen.
Reality is, we will probably hire for retirements and until we see an huge jump in aircraft online.. that's about it. Not to mention that DenTK is still being rebuilt.
Still a pilot hiring world. (NewHire) Pilots can pick and choose where they want to go with regards to both the majors, and the cargo companies.
A couple of pilots leave during Indoc, just means that the next class will add a couple of extra pilots. The pool is deep enough, and if needed, they could interview and have people in class in a month.
Good Luck to the 400-500 pilots that will be hired in the next 12 months!
Always
Motch