Just food for thought-
Just came from another friends military retirement (105th AW CC).
(Great guy)
Anyways, he's coming back to U now, and 2 others have returned in the past month too.

There are still a ton of guys out on military leave. So when I hear that we are planning 400-500 newhires next year yet others argue it's not enough, we need to keep in mind that the 'Active' number of pilots will increase more than the retirement numbers cause a decrease.

Add to that, the push to be more efficient with pilots and schedules, I think that they have a plan and it's still falling into place.
As AirHoss mentioned in another thread, there are 3 issues causing our lower newhire/training numbers.