The Captain Obvious question is the future of the MD-10 fleet. If we actually park hulls and excess off the fleet, the net result will be a movement of bodies from that fleet to the 777, 76, and lesser extent to the A300 and 757.

If we keep the lift, it could be a 200-400 captain bid with a lot of positive movement.

Until the new 767 sims are in place, it is unlikely they could split 75/76 bidpacks, even if they wanted to, so parking a bunch of -10s and guys moving laterally over to the 76 by guys on the property will create a logjam that blocks a lot of "new" captains and FOs from going to the 75/76. (Cue: "Its a mess!" from The Campaign) That would mean a lot of new hires going to the A300 or 777, or a long, slow transition from the -10 with a super long training letter. (Oops--we get to bid for training now!) The result is why FedEx may have a "vision" of how they want to see guys move off the jet, seniority will also be factor and manning may not quite go according to their master plan.

Adding to the fun will be a new 75/76 Training boss and Standards boss.

You can bet nobody will tell us anything--and sometime soon a new bid will be published. That is when we will know... But the thing to watch for is the number of excess slots off the -10/11. That will determine if this is another MOAB type event with some serious advancement or just guys sliding around the system into different seats. There is always a chance a major push of FOs off the -10/11 would ripple into the 777, which has a host of new hires on it now. Some of those pilots enjoying Paris and Hong Kong on layovers may get a little taste of old school 75 hub turns before all the music stops.