Originally Posted by TransWorld

Let’s do a little math. 25 flow per month x 12 months per year = 300 flow per year.

2100 Pilots / 300 flow per year = 7 years until flow.

If flows go up or down, if some pilots leave to other airlines or jump around and get hired off the street, if the economy tanks or expands, if if if. . . Things can change.

I would surmise the 6 years until flow would not be a bad estimate, since some will be hired elsewhere or go to AA OTS.

Why is the current flow 12 years with Envoy? They are part of the lost decade when very few pilots were hired. Flow will zip through them quickly, as there are only a handful hired each year.

In about 2 years, will have gone through all the Protected Pilots. Then it will be at about 7 years from hire date to flow date.

Remember just a few years ago, the pilots flowing to AA had 25 years with Envoy. When they hired the flow program did not exist. In those few short years, hire dates have gone from 25 years to 12 years with Envoy.