Originally Posted by
TransWorld
You are correct, that is what the contract says, beyond the Protected Pilots.
I am speculating, but once hiring kicks into high gear, market forces will cause AA to renegotiate the flow number back up to the rate at the Protected Pilots, 25 per month.
Anticipated sustained hiring in a few years for the 6 majors (per Boeing press release which matches up with current hiring rates at the majors increased for the increased retirements) will be about 6,000 a year.
The military retirements are about 1,000 a year, so drop that number to 5,000. Recognize some get hired from other sources. Knock another 1,000 off this, make it 4,000. The regionals are about 20,000.
So again, with a bit of math, the hiring rate from the regionals will be about 20,000 / 4,000 per year = 5 years. I have a hard time believing AA will leave flows at 12 years. The market forces will push them to about match this. Otherwise, W.O. recruiting will go to pot.
Again, you may have a different opinion.
It's obvious that you haven't been around that long. AAG will never, and I do mean never, go above and beyond on anything that they don't have to if it costs them money or isn't in their interest. They've violated Envoy's contract year after year. Take for example the reserve turn back +1 and then you are done. Somehow or another within a year of signing that deal, reserves would come out on day 1 and be turned back through day 6, never seeing their own bed for 5 straight nights. Clear violation that Envoy obviously had no intention of ever living up to.
I know it's hard to let go of the con job that the recruiters put on you and then the kool aid they pump in you during indoc and initial, but it's reality. You can see that AA has flat out stopped the flow for most of the last half of this year already. 88 new hires scheduled for November and only 25 flows.