Originally Posted by TransWorld

You are correct, that is what the contract says, beyond the Protected Pilots.

I am speculating, but once hiring kicks into high gear, market forces will cause AA to renegotiate the flow number back up to the rate at the Protected Pilots, 25 per month.

Anticipated sustained hiring in a few years for the 6 majors (per Boeing press release which matches up with current hiring rates at the majors increased for the increased retirements) will be about 6,000 a year.

The military retirements are about 1,000 a year, so drop that number to 5,000. Recognize some get hired from other sources. Knock another 1,000 off this, make it 4,000. The regionals are about 20,000.

So again, with a bit of math, the hiring rate from the regionals will be about 20,000 / 4,000 per year = 5 years. I have a hard time believing AA will leave flows at 12 years. The market forces will push them to about match this. Otherwise, W.O. recruiting will go to pot.

Again, you may have a different opinion.