Originally Posted by
LIOG41
Junior CA upgrade will go to mid 2013 hires in NY if they want it. Wide body FO will be mid to late 2013 hires on this next bid. That's my prediction. Things are clicking big time. Expect lots of movement.
That means junior CA would have to drop approx. 1650 numbers in the next bid run. That's looking at the typical DOH amongst a bunch of people and not the random 2013 DOH amongst a bunch of 2001 DOH's.
The seniority list/DOH gets scrambled because there's a bunch of 2013's mixed with 1999 DOH's, then groups of 2013 DOH's, and alternating 1999 and 2013's, then fewer 2013's mixed with 2001 DOH's. It doesn't become pure 2013 DOH's until 12450 ish.
Current junior CA DOH, non AWA, is 3/2001. 10,8xx of 15,xxx. On property is 10,679 of 14,542 (73%). Junior CA percentage used to be 60-65%. Then it dropped closer to 70%. Now it's 73%. That's because the G4 FO job pays the same (FO line holder vs CA rsv) and gives you better relative seniority. So the junior CA is 3,863 numbers senior to the junior guy on the list. That's under five years to upgrade assuming typical retirement patterns.