Originally Posted by
Sliceback
2017 + 2018 retirements (early 2017 tally)(base size nearest 50) -
CLT - 210. Base size -1550. 13.5%
PHL - 159. Base size - 1300. 12.2%
Assuming 85% of retirements are Captains 24% of both the CLT and PHL CA’s are retiring in 2017-2028.
For comparison -
DFW - 81/2500. 3.2%. 6.2% of CA’s
LAX - 56/1350. 4.1%. 8.1%
MIA - 75/2100. 3.6%. 6.8%
Retirements don’t necessarily mean movement if the flying shifts elsewhere (comment for people new to the industry).
Another thing to consider (after the new quarterly bid) is the exodus from my LGA to PHL and CLT. FO's I fly with on the 777 are either laterally moving to the 330 or upgrading on the 767 and 320. The international 330 and 767 flying from PHL seems to be better (and growing) too.
Many who drive from NJ and PA and will shorten their commute time. Finally, these relatively senior FO's will have better seniority in the LUS system and avoid reserve altogether. On the flip side I have yet to hear of any LUS guys coming to NY at least on the 777.