Originally Posted by
Kilroy
Wrong. Was positive up until last year when things were not looking right I gave us 3 to 5 years. Then the delta announcement came out, witch confirmed my suspicions about this place, which reduced it to out of business to 2018. Now we are losing pilots to the point where we are unable to man the aircraft. Wait until January when approximately 2 to 300 pilots leave after bonus pay out. Look at the F/A side. Furloughs were announced with them (ERJ) side starting December 31 this year. Who do you think is next. The sad thing is pilots like you are in denial. Comair Guys were the same way. Management had no idea we would bleed pilots this bad. In this case the sky really is falling.
While I’m not optimistic about the future I would say things are different today than they were when Comair went under.
As I’ve pointed out in other posts majors need regional aircraft feed. Without it larger aircraft with lower cost/seat mile but higher costs/leg fly at greatly reduced capacity. When Comair was shut down manning these airplanes wasn’t an issue. A homeless, out of work CFI could be found under any overpass willing to throw landing gear in exchange for a bottle of Mad Dog 20/20. In addition, I think oil was still high and we were told all 50 seaters would be gone... oh about 3 years ago.
Today, not so much. UAL is pretty close to seeing their RJ fleet (which they own, BTW), parked. Hopefully they’ve realized this and do, in fact, have a plan. Heck, they are pretty much buying the pilots. If not, good luck to us. Most of us are trying to move upward but may have to “settle” for a lateral move. I almost made the leap to Envoy for the $45K signing bonus, but a year + of airport reserve was a little too much to swallow.