I suspect that the 609 will be very successful...it has several significant safety advantages over the V-22...

No need for fast, tactical approach/LDG/departures. A slow approach almost elininates the vortex-ring state problem.

No incoming enemy fire, so the chance of total power loss is the same as any other twin-turbine aircraft...almost zero.

The transition from forward to rotor flight will be much slower than on the V-22, eliminating some technical risk and simplifying the aerodynamics of the transition.

No need for military payload vs. performance compromises...all aircraft designs are compromises, but civilian designs are biased more towards safety.