Originally Posted by
ORDinary
True, but it is also calculated assuming AA never has any training backlogs, and assuming classes in December every year, which they never have. Those things probably roughly cancel each other out, and 9 years is probably as accurate a guess as any other.
Also remember that every month where we hire more than 15-20 pilots is time added to the flow for a new hire. So it is 9 years and growing bigger all the time.
We hired 58 and 75 in two classes. IF and its a big IF all those pilots stayed on property their flow dates could be 8 months to more than a year apart from flow dates. This is also contingent on AA hiring more than 800 pilots no back log and our pilot group still being more than 2000 pilots.