Originally Posted by
Jersdawg
The 2010 hires will be (hopefully) done 3rd quarter of 2019 (9 year flow). There were a lot of 2011 hires and it will take until mid-2020 to get through them (8.5-9 year flow). In 2021 it will drop to around 6.5 years - the 2012/13 hires will go quickly and we will be into the 2014 hires.
So yes, it will drop, but it will be 2021 before it really begins to start dropping.
The 12 year CA said he figured it would be late 2019, which would be 8 years. If he is wrong and you are right, mid 2020 would put it at 8.5 years.