About 4 years ago the consensus amongst the 4 majors was a combined 10,000 applicants.

That was when the first Civilians being hired from the regionals had been there for 25 years. Just had a conversation with an Envoy captain end of last year. They have flow, he was going to AA this Jan. He has 12 years. Years with the regionals is headed down further.

Had a long discussion on their thread, the union officially says it will level out at 9 years. With the OTS by passing flow, my projection is 6 years. We will see where it is in a few years. Times are clearly changing.