Originally Posted by
go skers
If they configure all CR7 to 65 seats there's actually quite a bit of room. AA's narrowbody fleet has been holding around 800 aircraft. 40% of that number can be large RJs so around 320 total.
Republic-86 E75
Compass-20 E75
Envoy-54 E75 (when delivered)
Mesa-64 CR9
PSA-54 CR9
Total 278
Breaking it down even farther there can be 75% of total AA narrowbody fleet in RJs which puts the number around 600 total RJs large and small.
Skywest/ASA-57 CR7 (8 more than current coming online this summer)
Envoy/PSA-61 CR7
Total 118
Where it gets interesting is the 50/44 seat fleet. The E140 will fill in the remainder of the total RJ count as AW and maybe some of the 11 SKYW CR2 leave the fleet
TSA/PDT/Envoy-118 E145
Envoy-49 E140
PSA-35 CR2
Total 202
Grand Total 598
If you've read this far the limiting factor currently isn't large RJ scope it's total RJ scope. That's probably why they're not adding those 10 Envoy E75 until Q4. They'll likely need to phase out some of the short term lift that SKYW was doing with their CR2 or CR7 (less Likely) in order to accommodate those E75 for Envoy. There are some assumptions on my part in there but I think it paints a pretty accurate picture of the RJ scope at AA
Thank you for running these numbers. I was under the impression that the large RJs were the cap right now, not the total number so I appreciate you clearing that up.
The original PSA CR7s are still configured over 65 seats, right? Are there plans to change that, or is it just speculation that they will? I've been hearing "if they bring them down to 65 seats" for a couple years now.