Originally Posted by
CBreezy
You're right, there is a first time for everything. Statistically though, a first time offender isn't brazen or prepared enough to bring roofies to the bar knowing he's going to spike his FOs drink. That kind of bold behavior is learned over many attempts. Statistically speaking.
And suicide, obviously, is a VERY different mental issue and honestly a terrible analogy.
What you are saying is that statistically, most people who do this get away with their initial attempts and only eventually do the odds catch up with them, not that this is statistically improbable that it happens at all. That's a different logical argument.
And I disagree, suicide is a very apropos analogy. Do you seriously think this guy's professional career is going to recover from this? Or quite possibly his marriage? Even if it is viewed in the most favorable manner possible, this was exceedingly reckless behavior on the part if the captain. And whatever the odds were statistically of this blowing up in his face, it has certainly happened.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.e10656b7a1d5