Originally Posted by
Excargodog
What you are saying is that statistically, most people who do this get away with their initial attempts and only eventually do the odds catch up with them, not that this is statistically improbable that it happens at all. That's a different logical argument.
And I disagree, suicide is a very apropos analogy. Do you seriously think this guy's professional career is going to recover from this? Or quite possibly his marriage? Even if it is viewed in the most favorable manner possible, this was exceedingly reckless behavior on the part if the captain. And whatever the odds were statistically of this blowing up in his face, it has certainly happened.
What does his professional career have to do with suicide?
I'm not talking about getting caught first time. I'm saying that most offenders like this don't start out with "you know what, I've been faithful my whole life, so today I'm going to drug my coworker on a short overnight and have my way with her." That isn't how that psychopathy works. This is especially true considering most predators start their behavior in their teens and early 20s. The only reason he was caught this time was because a FA reported him to the duty pilot in a chance encounter. If this were a simple he-said, she-said, the circumstances might be different but there are a lot of very concerning red flags about this situation and all of them point to habitual behavior.